Okay!
We all know that the first round of "October Surprises" hasn't gone as planned by the GOP... but as Faux News is fond of pointing out, they still have Rove & that closeted heterosexual Ken Mehlman on the job.
So -- with Bush falling in the polls, more battlegrounds opening up, a base that's splintering, it's time to place your bets on the next "Terror Alert Level Is Being Raised".
Please use the polling questions to ballpark when Chertoff & Company do the Rovian thing. Use the comments to predict the actual date (and discuss your reasons).